By: Gary Reese
An InsiderAdvantage telephone poll conducted the evening of Wednesday May 7 shows David Perdue still in the lead in the GOP primary race for U.S. Senate. Karen Handel and Jack Kingston are battling it out for a second place runoff position.
The IVR phone interview of 531 likely voters is weighted for age, race and gender. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.2%, with a confidence level of 95%.
David Perdue 26%
Karen Handel 18%
Jack Kingston: 17%
Paul Broun: 12%
Phil Gingrey: 11%
InsiderAdvantage CEO/Fox5 Political Analyst Matt Towery:
“The battle between Kingston and Handel for the critical second place position has tightened. Handel may be reaching a ceiling, which she might not be able to rise above without a major presence of ads on broadcast television.
“Perdue is dominating the age group of 65 and over. Kingston or Handel need to steal some of Perdue’s senior voters because these voters are the most likely to vote, and the most likely to watch ads on television,” said Towery.
“One thing that might lower Perdue’s actual Election Day performance is his lack of a major voter turnout machine. Both Handel and Kingston have natural political bases of support, and they can and will come out to vote.
“The next week could see several more shifts as voters now get down to actually paying attention. I might add that everything we see, both in responses to surveys and in early voting, suggests a fairly tepid voter turnout for these primary elections,” said Towery.