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InsiderAdvantage/Fox5/Morris News “SuperPoll”: Handel Moves to Second Place in GOP Senate Contest; Deal Headed for Big Win

Poll: Handel moves to 2nd place, Kingston slips, Deal headed for 'big win'

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ATLANTA, Ga. - An InsiderAdvantage “SuperPoll” of telephone and online respondents indicates that with just three weeks until the GOP primary election, Karen Handel has moved into second place behind David Perdue who leads the tightly packed field. Jack Kingston slipped to third place. And the large percentage of undecided voters from just a few weeks ago has started to disappear as voters choose their candidates. Survey conducted by InsiderAdvantage (www.insideradvantage.com) and Opinionsavvy (www.opinionsavvy.com)

The GOP Senate Primary “SuperPoll”, conducted April 27-29 of 737 likely voters, is weighted for age, race, and gender. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5% with a confidence level of 95%. The results were:

Perdue: 22%

Handel: 21%

Kingston: 17%

Broun: 14%

Gingrey: 12%

Other: 3%

Undecided: 11%

InsiderAdvantage CEO/ Fox5 Political Analyst Matt Towery: “Kingston has been losing metro-Atlanta female support with his ‘folksy’ TV ads for weeks. Handel, who usually does not poll as well with female voters is picking up significant female support and is starting to leave both David Perdue and Jack Kingston substantially behind with women. Both Perdue and Handel are performing at least ten points higher than Kingston among self-described independent voters who plan to vote in the GOP primary. The other candidates show little if any movement. If Handel were to spend any degree of significant money on broadcast TV ads in the final two weeks, her momentum could take her to first place, leaving Perdue and Kingston battling for a spot in the runoff, but that remains to be seen. Perdue’s ads have grown stale and are yielding little new support and Kingston’s ads are actually continuing to damage him in the important demographics of women and independents. One final note. This primary will skew heavily senior in terms of age. The candidates are gaining most of their earned and paid name identification thru ads that run during the local network affiliate newscasts, which increasingly are attracting an older audience.”

The GOP Gubernatorial Primary “SuperPoll” (same date, responses, weighting, margin of error, and confidence level) shows:

Deal: 66%

Pennington: 11%

Barge: 4%

Undecided: 19%

Matt Towery: “Governor Deal wins in a walk. His opponents have truly run two of the worst campaigns I have seen in decades. Unless a meteorite strikes the Deal campaign he will win with over 75% of the vote. And even if a meteorite were to strike, he would still beat these two with room to spare. Really a silly little contest that will serve to dampen turnout in the GOP Senate contest.”

   Methodology

Target Population

Likely Republican voters in Georgia

Sampling Method

This poll is mixed-mode, using both telephone and online sampling techniques. Respondents were randomly selected from voter registration records for a telephone poll. Simultaneously, online respondents were targeted randomly for an identical poll.

Integration & Weighting

Over multiple iterations (preserving original ratios), the online and telephone polls were integrated and subsequently re-sampled randomly. The poll was weighted for age, gender, and political affiliation.

For more analysis go to www.insideradvantage.com  For more on the value of online and telephone surveys visit www.opinionsavvy.com

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