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Federal forecasters don't expect an extreme winter

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  • Powerful storm hit tristate region

    Powerful storm hit tristate region

    Wednesday, July 16 2014 12:50 AM EDT2014-07-16 04:50:17 GMT
    Powerful thunderstorms prompted the National Weather Service to issue several weather alerts for the New York City metropolitan area in effect through Wednesday morning. Many counties are under a Flash Flood Watch through 6 a.m. July 16. Multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms moved across the area ahead of a cold front.
    Powerful thunderstorms prompted the National Weather Service to issue several weather alerts for the New York City metropolitan area in effect through Wednesday morning. Many counties are under a Flash Flood Watch through 6 a.m. July 16. Multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms moved across the area ahead of a cold front.
  • Polar Vortex to return in July

    Polar Vortex to return in July

    Friday, July 11 2014 11:25 AM EDT2014-07-11 15:25:20 GMT
    It may sound worse than it is, but the Polar Vortex people in the Northeast heard so much about last winter is already concerning some as it gets set to return this summer. Meteorologist Mike Woods says there is no need to worry, just be aware of the possible weather changes to come.  "A big dip in the jet stream could set us up for severe weather mainly Tuesday," said Woods.
    It may sound worse than it is, but the Polar Vortex people in the Northeast heard so much about last winter is already concerning some as it gets set to return this summer. Meteorologist Mike Woods says there is no need to worry, just be aware of the possible weather changes to come.  "A big dip in the jet stream could set us up for severe weather mainly Tuesday," said Woods.
  • Thunderstorms hit New York, New Jersey

    Thunderstorms hit New York, New Jersey

    Friday, July 4 2014 5:58 AM EDT2014-07-04 09:58:34 GMT
    The National Weather Service issued several weather alerts -- including Flood Watches and Warnings and Severe Thunderstorms Warnings -- for a second day in a row for the New York and New Jersey area because of powerful storms.  The Flash Flood Watch remained in effect for certain counties until Friday, July 4, at noon.
    The National Weather Service issued several weather alerts -- including Flood Watches and Warnings and Severe Thunderstorms Warnings -- for a second day in a row for the New York and New Jersey area because of powerful storms.  The Flash Flood Watch remained in effect for certain counties until Friday, July 4, at noon.

By SETH BORENSTEIN

WASHINGTON (AP) — The weather forecast for this winter is mostly a shrug of the shoulders.

For most of the nation, the National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration predicts equal chances for unusual warmth, cold, snow, rain and even average weather. That's because certain global weather factors, like El Nino, aren't big and apparent.

NOAA's Mike Halpert said Thursday that the winter isn't likely to be too memorable or unusual, except in the South where drought should deepen in the southwest and develop in the southeast.

Forecasters expect unusual warmth from Arizona to Alabama and also in New England. The extreme U.S. north, around the Dakotas, is likely to be colder than normal.

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Copyright 2013 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

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